Is he more talented than Melvin Gordon III at this point in their respective careers? But he's 29, he's undersized, he had a hard time staying healthy last year, he adds little as a pass catcher, and the San Francisco backfield is awfully crowded now. NFL draft 2022 running back projections - Rankings, historical comps Kudos to James Robinson. Top 10 Most Overrated NFL Players of All Time. NFL's 5 Most Overrated Running Backs - Bleacher Report These are players that will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. So should drafters trust the first 25 games of his career where he was a compiler with minimal ceiling or the final six games against bad defenses in 2020? Johnson was once a big name at the running back position and is still getting drafted based on that name and past production. Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup They did not pick up his fifth-year option and took Zamir White in the fourth round of the NFL Draft. Malcolm Brown should play plenty, and this offense isn't likely to be explosive enough to support two running backs in any meaningful way. Jamaal Williams is a fine receiver, route runner, and red-zone back who will limit Swift's upside to a low-end fantasy RB2, at best. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. Emmitt Smith 4. Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay | Consensus Rankings RB33 | Consensus Projections RB31. But when we look closer, The Bus only averages 1,050 rushing yards per year and 7 touchdowns, far from elite stats. Henry has never caught more than 19 passes in a season, and that limited production as a receiver is an issue. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. Wait until next year. Kansas City had 40 passing touchdowns and 10 rushing scores. Nick Chubb, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB10 | Consensus Projections RB11. When I was comparing Bettis stats to the the 3 RBs I mentioned above, I saw that Bettis was highly overrated. Most Overrated NFL Players of All Time by Team | Stadium Talk most overrated running backs of all time - mediperi.com Drew Brees is arguably the best screen game quarterback in NFL history. Andrew Davenport: I've had ample opportunities to draft Gaskin and just haven't been able to do it. He has had 9,088 receiving+rushing yards over his career. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. Jameis Winston is a downfield passer, and Hill would rather run than check down. Sigmund Bloom: Not that the Texans offense was anything you wanted to go near in fantasy drafts in the first place, but Johnson's ADP needs to adjust by multiple rounds to the news that he will be sharing the backfield with Phillip Lindsay and Mark Ingram II and no longer in the lead back role. He's a strong talent with some flaws with a better all-around back ahead of him. And the Titans got worse this offseason, losing wide receiver Corey Davis, tight end Jonnu Smith, cornerback Adoree' Jackson, and defensive end Jadeveon Clowney. On top of these issues, the Texans added Rex Burkhead, Mark Ingram II, and Philip Lindsay to compete for touches. He showed elite promise in his rookie year and followed it up with a top 10 season despite a high ankle sprain limiting his ascension. Phil Alexander: The epic stretch-run that led Montgomery to an RB4 finish in 2020 came with Tarik Cohen sidelined and against the defenses of Green Bay, Detroit, Houston, Minnesota, and Jacksonville, respectively. However, Melvin Gordon III returning is the lynchpin for tepid upside expectations outside of a Gordon injury. Gordon caught only 32 passes last year, and outside of three games where he scored two touchdowns, he was a mediocre fantasy back. . Brown has more power and better acceleration and change-of-direction quickness than Gaskin, who is the better receiver. This slideshow lists the most underrated and overrated quarterbacks, running backs and receivers in the NFL, and the choices might shock you. Najee Harris, Pittsburgh | Consensus Rankings RB17 | Consensus Projections RB15. Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup Robinson can be successful this year, but he will need luck and to earn the trust of the new coaching staff. David Johnson 's fantasy fortunes have been a roller coaster ride over the past three seasons. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. Back up Share project Close 2022 hyundai sonata limited interior; what is birkenstock oiled leather; bates high gloss duty oxford; most overrated running backs of all time. Alvin Kamara, New Orleans | Consensus Rankings RB3 | Consensus Projections RB2. Pat Fitzmaurice: The appeal is that he's an inexpensive lead back. Unfortunately, he needs to stay hyper-efficient on the ground to stay fantasy relevant, as Ravens running backs have gotten a 70/30 carry split with Jackson over the last three years. While Hunt has moderate standalone value playing alongside Chubb, he'll need to either break a long run, vulture a touchdown at the goal-line, or catch a score to help you win a weekly matchup -- all things that are difficult to bank on. These are players that will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. With the second-year back getting selected in the early second round of most drafts, fantasy managers must be expecting that trend to continue in 2021. James Brimacombe: I view Melvin Gordon III this season a lot like I viewed Leonard Fournette in Jacksonville last offseason. Gaskin has an RB2 ceiling, but an RB3 value is a much stronger likelihood than many realize, whether it's Brown or a summer free-agent acquisition like Todd Gurley, Adrian Peterson, or a recent starter a team lets go to make room for an emerging force. There's just not enough upside here to justify taking Johnson anywhere near his ADP and no expectation of consistency in Johnson's usage or the Texans' ability to move the ball week to week. Chad Parsons: McKissic is priced reasonably with an implied drop in targets. Davis has changed teams five times in the last three seasons. Green Bay seems to like A.J. This NFL season, which isn't even over yet, 5 running backs have already rushed for more yards and 16 have more touchdowns. First, Johnson turns 30 in December, and considering all the injuries he's dealt with in his NFL career, it's hard to see him aging well. Jones was the better, more efficient runner during the 2020 regular season, and Bernard seems destined to be Tampa's primary passing-down back. Why Bo Jackson is the Most Overrated Player of All Time J.D. Jeff Haseley: Josh McDaniels' history of using multiple running backs in his offense is enough to be concerned about Josh Jacobs not having a full-time role as the lead back for the Raiders. Ryan Hester: Even before he played double-digit snaps in the most meaningless of all meaningless preseason games, Jacobs was a solid fade. Most Overrated QB: Tom Brady 1 of 6 Top 20 Most Overrated NFL Players Of All Time - TheSportster Overall: 98 and 96. The coaching staff did not ignore this, as they selected the best pass-catching running back in the fifth round of the NFL Draft in Kenneth Gainwell. Tatum Bell isn't the only Lions running back of the 2000s to get snakebitten. Anthony Amico: The new regime for the Raiders is not particularly reassuring of Jacobs' role with the team. 24 Overrated Running Backs - Footballguys Arizona Cardinals: All-time underrated, overrated players Phil Alexander: What makes people so confident the Dolphins backfield is not a committee? 24 Overrated RBs. Links to similar discussions on other positions: 12 Quarterbacks11 Tight Ends28 Wide Receivers25 Running Backs, 10 Quarterbacks12 Tight Ends23 Wide Receivers25 Running Backs, 9 Quarterbacks11 Tight Ends15 Wide Receivers13 Running Backs. The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Also, Jalen Hurts is poised to siphon a few short-range scores from the running back position. Bettis was nothing more than an average RB for a long period of time (13 years). There is no other way to explain a mid-range RB3 price when he is in one of the worst possible situations in Houston. . McKissic this offseason and added Alabama running back Brian Robinson Jr Jr. in the 3rd round of the NFL draft. Earl Campbell 9. Gordon has always been a runner that needs a large workload to produce fantasy stats. Unlike Lindsay, Williams can supplant Gordon at the goal line, and there's some possibility that Williams takes over the backfield right away. The Brazilian won the Ballon d'Or in 2005 and has been inducted into the Milan hall of fame for his impact between 2008 and 2011 before heading back to his homeland. Drew Davenport: Gordon hasn't been a special player for a while now, and at times last year looked completely ineffective. Given Russell Wilson's historical propensity to score rushing touchdowns in goal-line situations, it's hard to get overly excited about Williams, particularly in PPR formats. Jamal Lewis-- RB, 2000-06 There have been seven running backs who have rushed for 2,000 yards in a season, and Jamal Lewis is by far the least memorable of the bunch. Ben Cummins: The Raiders offense should be fun this season with the additions of Davante Adams and new head coach, Josh McDaniels. 1. That has shown to be largely untrue so far in camp as Williams and Gordon have been splitting first-team reps nearly 50-50 until Gordon has missed time with a foot injury. Jerome Bettis 16. Malcolm Brown is one of the least-sexy names in fantasy football, but NFL teams sure seem to love him. 1 Barry Sanders Barry Sanders is a former American football running back who spent his entire professional career with the Detroit Lions of the National Football League. He has lapses in vision and decision-making. In 2019, his last full season, Cohen averaged 5.8 yards per catch and 4.4 yards per target -- terrible numbers for a third-down back. Theyre going to be one of the worst teams in NFL History. Gordon is a massive red flag at his ADP. If Robinson claims goal line work, there is an upward battle for returning a value in his ADP. The fact is, he never . They might be lucky to win three games, which means limited touchdown potential for Johnson and a shortage of run-friendly game scripts. Gaskin is a nice player, but the signings by this staff the last two offseasons say they don't have confidence that Gaskin is their guy. Melvin Gordon III, Denver | Consensus Rankings RB28 | Consensus Projections RB29. Jason Wood: We all want Dobbins to be an every-down workhorse. The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. But you do have to attribute some of his success to his top 10 run blocking. While the opportunity is undeniable, it's risky betting on Davis as the answer. Downing, USA Today Sports. The Steelers were 23rd in red zone attempts per game in 2020 and were ranked as having the fourth-worst offensive line ahead of the 2021 season by Pro Football Focus. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. Here are some stats from footballoutsiders.com: * Note: ADY =. He rewarded those believers with an RB18 PPG season. Andy Hicks: The Broncos dont seem overly excited to use Melvin Gordon III this year. David Montgomery, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB18 | Consensus Projections RB18. The 49ers traded up to draft Trey Sermon, they brought in Wayne Gallman as a free agent, and Jeff Wilson is still around. Andrew Davenport: Fournette's production in the playoffs was artificially inflated by the injury to Ronald Jones II, and part of Fournette's regular-season fantasy production last year was due to his pass-catching role. Running back Chris Wells of the Arizona Cardinals was a first-round draft pick, 31st overall, in 2009 who always seemed to be on the injured list year after year. Scoring at least once in 9 games (16 gms total) yields a 56% chance of a score in each game. Gibson plays on a bad offense, has rushing competition from Robinson, and receiving competition from McKissic. Harris has the potential to be this year's Clyde Edwards-Helaire, as he may end up burning us relative to his climbing ADP. Taylor can be a rock-solid option and still be pecked away with Hines and Mack enough to be more in the RB10-15 range. But so far, there is nothing to suggest that it is, and all three running backs are likely to play plenty. Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. Expect a more even split in touches than many are forecasting and potentially for Brown to earn the lead role. Adrian Peterson 10. Mike Davis, Atlanta | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB23. His current draft price is almost his upside. Drafters are still grabbing David Johnson due to projected volume, yet in their first preseason game, Houston utilized Phillip Lindsay on first and second downs with the starters while David Johnson was restricted to a third-down role. Martin is one of the best running backs of all time because he blended good ability with outstanding durability and versatility. Backs who will receive bigger shares of their teams usage are going after Chubb. However, James Robinson is a better runner than Etienne at this point. Jeff Haseley: The Dolphins have a three-headed approach to the running back position this year. We've seen running backs repeatedly return from severe knee injuries; very seldom do they return the following year and have a memorable fantasy season. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. He feasted on unsustainable opportunities and a soft schedule. The investment in veteran wideout Sammy Watkins and rookies Rashod Bateman and Tylan Wallace almost cements Dobbinss capped upside in the passing game. Pat Fitzmaurice: The Buccaneers' playoff run was the best four-game stretch for Fournette since the early part of the 2019 season. Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered Kevin Coleman: Antonio Gibsons value took a hit this offseason. The 39 Most Overrated Bands Of All-Time While they might have some catchy tunes, some bands are really overrated. Andy Hicks: It is hard for an undrafted rookie running back to succeed in the NFL. Phil Alexander: Drew Brees is arguably the best screen game quarterback in NFL history. Jim Brown Jim Brown spent a little less than a decade playing for the Cleveland Browns between 1957 and 1965, but that was enough time to prove he's likely the greatest running back to ever play the game and one of the greatest NFL players of all time. Fred Taylor Vegas used other backs last year and pigeonholed Jacobs as a two-down grinder. 19 Overrated Running Backs - Footballguys Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup NFL's 5 Most Overrated Running Backs No Name August 6, 2011 Over the past decade, the NFL has really evolved into a passing league. Anthony Amico: Dobbins is being drafted as if he has a far greater stranglehold on this Ravens backfield than he likely will. Jalen Hurts will inevitably take away carries and goal-line rushes from the backfield, capping any true remaining upside Sanders may have been clinging to. Taysom Hill had nine carries from inside the opponent's five-yard line to Kamara's 15 in 2021 and won't be removed from the Saints' red-zone plans any time soon. Brown has always been a strong contributor inside the five-yard line scoring 9 rushing touchdowns in the last two years in that hot zone. This is exactly what the Steelers tried to do by selecting Najee Harris in the first round in the NFL Draft. Matt Waldman: Many of my peers at Footballguys are worshippers of draft capital as a predictor of talent. Then, two players were listed as being the most overrated compared to their draft projection. Barry Sanders is easily the best ever. The Ravens have had the #1 rushing offense in the league for the last two years straight but have finished 31st overall in total running back targets in that same time span. Heading into this season, their offensive line is mediocre, their quarterback situation is a mess, they have a new coach, and the rest of the skill position players are uninspiring. Single Now, if the right-back fully lived up to his potential, then he could have been a Man City great. The Eagles also resigned Jordan Howard and added Kerryon Johnson to the backfield, exhibiting their lack of trust in Sanders to be an every-down back. They traded up in the draft to select Javonte Williams and, without the large contract, may have already released the former Charger. Ryan Hester: If Aaron Rodgers leaves Green Bay, no Green Bay players will see their output exceed their price tag. The Eagles also resigned Jordan Howard and added Kerryon Johnson to the backfield, exhibiting their lack of trust in Sanders as an every-down back. LaDainian Tomlinson 6. As a rookie, Montgomery was a disappointment, averaging just 10.7 fantasy points per game. 25 Overrated Running Backs - Footballguys Bettis was also a nonfactor in the passing game. His primary use has been as an excellent pass-catching back. I feel like most drafting Gordon right now are doing it on name value, but he now has plenty of competition with Javonte Williams and Mike Boone as priority adds this offseason. Though volume is important in fantasy football, Harris will likely struggle behind his offensive line and may not garner an elite share of red zone touches. Flick's Package Liquor Inc. PO Box 221 3320 Sterns Rd. I just see way too much downside to take a risk on lightning striking twice. This three-headed committee with a healthy Jones is bad news for Fournette and means he is way overvalued at current ADP. David Johnson, Houston | Consensus Rankings RB39 | Consensus Projections RB47. Worst of all, he is now playing on the Houston Texans, who have no identity on offense heading into the season. Andy Hicks: The Broncos dont seem overly excited to use Melvin Gordon III this year. Gaskin has missed long periods through injury in his first two seasons in the league. Christian McCaffery and Nick Chubb, running backs. 24 Overrated Running Backs - Footballguys Pat Fitzmaurice: This is the type of player I won't draft at any cost. 2022/07/02 . His best year came in 2011 when he ran for 10 touchdowns and 1,047 yards, but other than that he didn't do much else. He was a reliable pass-protector, and had sure hands. Awesemo fantasy expert Nick Lepri gives you the three MOST OVERRATED RBs, breaks down his running .. Chad Parsons: Malcolm Brown looks, at a minimum, like a strong 1B option but did get the start and most of the snaps with Tua Tagovailoa with the first team in the initial preseason game. With an almost entirely new coaching staff, quarterback and receivers, it is difficult to trust that Swift will be worth his asking price. Pat Fitzmaurice: First, a hat tip: For a guy who was a nonfactor in Purdue's offense for four years and was mostly a special-teamer in his first four NFL seasons, Mostert turned out to be a pretty good running back.

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