Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg? Maybe that one would have been better. Which one's bigger? In 1943, the distinguished French mathematician mile Borel developed a law about probabilities that stated events with a sufficiently small probability never occur (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). Step 1. dr ali binazir odds of being born jeffrey dahmer museum milwaukee A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. How do you deal with a confirmed bachelor?, 9 Reasons Why Men Lose Interest and What You Can Do About It. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . They look like this , or this, and have to be avoided at all costs. A donut with no hole, is a Danish. That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. dr ali binazir odds of being born. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001.. That's 150,000 generations. When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. Those who are brave (foolish?) It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. Regardless of your skin color, country of origin, body size, religion, gender, or view point, WE ALREADY MADE IT HERE. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Now things start getting interesting. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their parents, and so on back to the beginning of human time. This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers to this website may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: 1 in 1045,000. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Moreover, the second shot would not necessary run into the red. Yes, youre here all right, and math can barely account for your existence, so tiny are the odds; but God has overseen every detail and knew you long before you were born. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. Step 2. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. May 20, 2021; linda hunt commercials; nail salon in publix plaza near me . Here it should be realize it is a quest work. Heres a thought experiment to help illustrate the unbelievably huge size of these numbers. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. But even if you dont believe in that, the science is enough. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. He assumes each person is alert and awake for eight hours a day (this allows for downtime watching reality TV shows when the human brain is entirely inactive). The question is, how long will it take for the fly to bring the entire moon back to the earth? But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count. That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. They agree to within a factor of two! Gamblers always play the odds; their lives revolve around probabilities, and that has led many into dark places. As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. Fortunately, just such a person is poised at the keyboard right now, so lets get started. He looked at the amount of water in the oceans, compared to the size of a life-preserver. "It is a part of probability that many improbable things will happen.. And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. dr ali binazir odds of being born 2022-06-25T04:47:45+00:00 And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. To illustrate how precious each human being is, self-help author Mel Robbins said during a 2011 Ted Talk that the likelihood of you being born as you has been calculated at about one in 400 trillion. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. We do not only have common English names, but also uncommon ones that have unique origins and meanings. On one try. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. The probability of this happening is 635,013,559,600 to one against. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. Who knows, maybe the ball that vanished into childhood's thicket? Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. Then he looked at the chances of them talking, of meeting again, of forming a long-term relationship, of having kids together, and of the right egg and the right sperm combining to make you. If we really took it in we would fall on our knees with rapture and tears of gratitude. Or are we some mysterious combination of impossible and inevitable? For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. Its maddening to see people worry so much. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14). Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. So whats the probability of your existing? saving. That should always be a great sense of wonder and a real source of gratitude. By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. The number of atoms in the known universe is estimated at 1080. You may think You say that to everyone!. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Is that an African fly or a European one? Lets say a third of those (4 trillion or 4 x 10, So, the chance of your particular chain of ancestors having remained unbroken for all that time would be 1 in 2, To account for all 150,000 generations, we raise 400 quadrillion to the 150,000, Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 10, This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. Having said that, Monsignor Popes reflection should spur us to consider that while the Mind of God could think of a nearly infinite number of souls to create, he chose to create you and I. Thats 150,000 generations. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. The great mystery of our existence stretches back in time into the very heart and mind of God who has always known and loved us, has prepared for us and made a way for us. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. He breaks the chances you were born down like this: The probability of your parents meeting is one in 20,000. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. You asked for more Brain Yoga, so here are the upcoming classes. (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). But Im not mathy. Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. For the sake of completeness: (102,640,000)(1045,000)(2000)(20,000) = 4x 102,685,007 102,685,000, Probability of your existing at all: 1 in 102,685,000. What are the odds of that? A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. There is no reason not to be bold, to throw yourself at life with vigor every single day. Now take whats left and live it properly. Marcus Aurelius. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Then the probability of Mr. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. I would not exist if my parents had not existed and then met. This includes personalizing content and advertising. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. That chain involved every ancestor, all the way back to the original hominids, getting romantic at precisely the right moment to keep the sequence going that produced you. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Not only has He always known us; he has known everything each of us would do, for every one of our days has been written in His book before one of them ever came to be. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. Otherwise theyd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. But on all probability it would. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. The odds against 26 blacks in a row are about 66 million to one against; however, previous results have absolutely no effect on subsequent ones. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. You are not here by luck; you are here by the grace and will of God. Or stalk me (with love.). The only know outcome is that you were born to your particular parents. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. 530 Lovett Blvd, Houston, TX 77006 +1 (713) 942-9600; pricing strategy of samsung mobile phones. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 102,685,000.

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